Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.702527 3.940634 4.197004 4.495534 4.836198 5.216057 5.676339
2025-06-01 3.297723 3.611633 3.969022 4.412633 4.958435 5.622511 6.516594
2025-06-08 3.021190 3.381659 3.810336 4.371110 5.107912 6.080816 7.540624
2025-06-15 2.832064 3.228246 3.717238 4.387540 5.324331 6.667499 8.940071
2025-06-22 2.624873 3.029119 3.540963 4.266291 5.327554 6.951419 10.000311
2025-06-29 2.434045 2.833066 3.347454 4.094066 5.224462 7.044292 10.775644
2025-07-06 2.301888 2.701881 3.226788 4.007372 5.232024 7.315587 12.053610
2025-07-13 2.263469 2.689702 3.263989 4.150055 5.620453 8.364458 15.952149
2025-07-20 2.202995 2.642331 3.246343 4.205693 5.872724 9.247336 20.672391
2025-07-27 2.188957 2.656545 3.316209 4.404665 6.419565 11.023947 33.876638
2025-08-03 2.153566 2.637552 3.334338 4.520043 6.835877 12.760119 62.059317
2025-08-10 2.081698 2.561804 3.260484 4.469420 6.902583 13.564553 102.715420
2025-08-17 1.974664 2.437175 3.114681 4.299102 6.728343 13.683612 162.566842
2025-08-24 1.896507 2.351758 3.025769 4.224154 6.760992 14.619011 2108.327847
2025-08-31 1.832580 2.284230 2.960804 4.186678 6.877719 16.063121 NaN
2025-09-07 1.784762 2.238042 2.926485 4.202333 7.131533 18.534504 NaN
2025-09-14 1.715907 2.156945 2.830565 4.090620 7.038997 19.228711 NaN
2025-09-21 1.642912 2.066700 2.715069 3.931313 6.793739 18.855231 NaN
2025-09-28 1.589920 2.004758 2.642906 3.850964 6.748675 19.771392 NaN
2025-10-05 1.579651 2.007167 2.676692 3.983359 7.329897 26.697461 NaN
2025-10-12 1.555592 1.987003 2.671018 4.034921 7.701010 34.350937 NaN
2025-10-19 1.553918 2.001369 2.724883 4.218848 8.581862 62.853130 NaN
2025-10-26 1.539623 1.994934 2.741846 4.325245 9.266599 137.634720 NaN